Match Info

K League 1 - Round 14

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Anyang Stadium (Anyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Anyang		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3	Watch
	2.32	3.1	2.92
	2.44	3.25	3.24
	2.37	3.03	3.21	Watch
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.33	3.18	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.47)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anyang
39.6%

Draw
29.9%

Gimcheon Sangmu
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anyang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Anyang will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 32. Lee Tae-Hee 5. Kim Young-Chan 21. Kwon Kyung-Won 17. Kang Ji-hun 13. Han K. (C) 7. Matheus Oliveira 8. Kim Jung-Hyun 27. Choi Geon-Joo 19. Kim Un 11. Airton Moises	1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 42. Hong Si-Hoo 45. Byeon Jun-Soo 20. Lee Chan-Wook 33. Park Jin-Seong 54. Yoon Jae-Seok 15. Lim Dug-Keun (C) 6. Lee Soo-Bin 17. Kim Joo-Chan 14. Park Se-Jin 9. Lee G.
Substitutes
71. Chae Hyun-woo 16. Choe Gyu-hyeon 20. Hong Jae-Seok 41. Hwang Byeong-Keun (G) 99. Ju Hyun-Woo 3. Kim Ji-hun 14. Moon Seong-Woo 70. Oh H. 44. Rafael Y.	10. Jeon Byung-Kwan 57. Jung Jae-Min 21. Kim In-Gyun 26. Lee Jung-Taek 56. Lee K. 47. Lee Sang-Heon 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 53. Roh Kyung-Ho
Coaches
Ryu Byeong-hoon	Joo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Choi Geon-Joo ⚽,
6', Hong Si-Hoo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Kang Ji-hun 🟨,
60', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Park Cheol-Woo ↑,
60', Park Se-Jin ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Lee G. ⚽,
67', Han K. ↓, Rafael Y. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Kim Joo-Chan ⚽, Park Cheol-Woo (A),
72', Kim Jung-Hyun ↓, Choe Gyu-hyeon ↑,
72', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Chae Hyun-woo ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Airton Moises ⚽,
81', Lee G. ↓, Jung Jae-Min ↑,
81', Lim Dug-Keun ↓, Roh Kyung-Ho ↑,
81', Kang Ji-hun ↓, Hong Jae-Seok ↑,
81', Airton Moises ↓, Oh H. ↑,
87', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Lee K. ↑,
90+5', Kwon Kyung-Won 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anyang won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gimcheon Sangmu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Anyang won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Anyang won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Anyang	31	10	11	10	39:47	-8	41
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Anyang - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Gimcheon Sangmu - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Anyang
South Korean K-League 1
10.05.26	Anyang - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	FC Seoul - Anyang	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Anyang - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gwangju - Anyang	2:5 ✺
22.04.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLWT
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
09.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Incheon United	0:3 ✺
05.05.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Bucheon - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.04.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang	1:1
18.10.25	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	4:1
22.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang	1:0
08.03.25	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3
South Korean K-League 2
23.09.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang	4:1
31.07.23	Anyang - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:0
13.05.23	Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang	0:0

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