Match Info

K League 1 - Round 23

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jeju		Anyang

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.70	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.75
	2.32	3.10	2.70
	2.53	3.57	2.84
	2.32	3.25	3.08	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.85
	2.41	3.38	2.81	Watch
	2.38	3.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)	3.38 ↑ (3.17)	2.81 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
39.1%

Draw
27.7%

Anyang
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Anyang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Jeju - Anyang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 6. Kwon Gi-min 3. Celestine J. 13. Jeong Woon 20. Jang M. 11. Shin Sang-Eun 5. Italo 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 94. Emerson Negueba 9. Matheus Aias	23. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 17. Kang Ji-hun 4. Lee Chang-Yong (C) 21. Kwon Kyung-Won 25. Kim J. 7. Matheus Oliveira 8. Kim Jung-Hyun 18. Knezevic B. 71. Chae Hyun-woo 9. Breno Herculano 10. Jukic I.
Substitutes
24. Choi Byung-wook 22. Cinari E. 81. Heo J. (G) 88. Jo In-jung 39. Kim Jae-min 41. Kim Jae-Woo 18. Kim Shin-Jin 7. Park Chang-Jun 47. Park Min-jae	11. Airton Moises 27. Choi Geon-Joo 99. Ju Hyun-Woo 24. Kim Bo-Kyung 31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 22. Kim Dong-Jin 19. Kim Un 5. Kim Young-Chan 26. Lee Jin-Yong
Coaches
Costa S.	Ryu Byeong-hoon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Breno Herculano ↓, Kim Un ↑,
35', Jukic I. ↓, Choi Geon-Joo ↑,
36', Jeong Woon 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Shin Sang-Eun ⚽, Italo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chae Hyun-woo ↓, Airton Moises ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Yu In-Soo ⚽,
60', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
60', Matheus Aias ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
67', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
69', Celestine J. 🟨,
71', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
71', Emerson Negueba ↓, Kim Jae-Woo ↑,
71', Celestine J. ↓, Park Min-jae ↑,
75', Kim Jung-Hyun ↓, Kim Bo-Kyung ↑,
75', Knezevic B. ↓, Lee Jin-Yong ↑,
87', Lee Chang-Yong 🟨,
90+4', Park Chang-Jun 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 1.

Jeju is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Anyang has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jeju is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
8	Anyang	31	10	11	10	39:47	-8	41

Last Results with these Odds

Anyang - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
08.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Jeju - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
02.08.26	Jeju - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Jeju - Hwaseong	4:3 penalties ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Gwangju - Jeju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTWW
- FC Anyang
South Korean K-League 1
08.08.26	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Ulsan HD - Anyang	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Cheongju - Anyang	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Bucheon - Anyang	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
17.05.26	Jeju - Anyang	1:2
08.03.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1
08.11.25	Jeju - Anyang	1:2
14.09.25	Anyang - Jeju	2:1
19.07.25	Jeju - Anyang	2:0
26.04.25	Anyang - Jeju	2:1
South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Jeju - Anyang	3:0 ET

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