Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Referee: Choi H. (Kor)


	Daejeon Citizen		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6	Watch
	1.47	4	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6
	1.46	4.2	6
	1.45	4.58	7.12
	1.5	3.7	5.8
	1.46	4.3	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.17 ↑ (3.93)	6.11 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
62.9%

Draw
22.1%

Busan I Park
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.7%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Daejeon Citizen - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: Daejeon Citizen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daejeon Citizen won 2.

Recent matches Daejeon Citizen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Busan I Park has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Busan I Park could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Daejeon Citizen is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Daejeon Citizen won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 31-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Daejeon Citizen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 2
30.07.22	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	1:0 ✺
18.07.22	Daejeon Citizen - Seoul E-Land	3:1 ✺
05.07.22	Daejeon Citizen - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
02.07.22	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLT
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
31.07.22	Anyang - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:2 ✺
24.07.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
18.07.22	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.05.22	Daejeon Citizen - Busan I Park	4:3
05.03.22	Busan I Park - Daejeon Citizen	1:1
04.09.21	Busan I Park - Daejeon Citizen	1:1
24.07.21	Daejeon Citizen - Busan I Park	3:1
10.05.21	Busan I Park - Daejeon Citizen	4:1
06.03.21	Daejeon Citizen - Busan I Park	1:2
17.09.19	Daejeon Citizen - Busan I Park	0:0

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