Match Info

K League 2 - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Gwangyang Football Stadium (Gwangyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Jeonnam Dragons		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.40	2.10	Watch
	2.87	3.30	2.10
	3.05	3.30	2.08
	3.20	3.67	2.23
	3.29	3.71	2.04	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.19
	3.17	3.55	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.46)	3.48 ↑ (3.36)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonnam Dragons
30.1%

Draw
26.5%

Busan I Park
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonnam Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Busan I Park: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 2. Yoo Ji-Ha (C) 7. Choi Han-Sol 44. Noh Dong-Geon 14. Yoon Min-ho 3. Kim J. 77. Hong Won-Jin 47. Son Gun-ho 17. Kim Beom-Su 10. Valdivia 11. Jeong Ji-Yong	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 5. Woo Ju-Seong 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 88. Park Hye-seong 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 13. Kim Hyun-Min 99. Cristian Renato 9. Kim Chan
Substitutes
24. Cho Young-Kwang 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 16. Ho S. 96. Kim Kyeong-Jun 4. Ku Hyun-Jun 88. Lee Jun-Hee (G) 12. Min Jun-Yeong 8. Park Tae-Yong 28. Yoon Young-seok	18. Baek Ga-On 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 21. Kim Dong-Wook 20. Kim Hee-Seung 4. Kim J. 66. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.
Coaches
Lim K.	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Hong Won-Jin 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Kim Beom-Su ⚽, Son Gun-ho (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Yoon Min-ho ⚽, Kim Beom-Su (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Woo Ju-Seong ↓, Kim Hee-Seung ↑,
46', Kim Hyun-Min ↓, Kim Se-Hoon ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Gabriel Honorio ⚽,
62', Yoon Min-ho 🟨,
62', Yoon Min-ho ↓, Yoon Young-seok ↑,
62', Jeong Ji-Yong ↓, Park Tae-Yong ↑,
66', Kim Beom-Su ↓, Cho Young-Kwang ↑,
71', Park Hye-seong ↓, Son J. ↑,
71', Kim Chan ↓, Kim J. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Valdivia ⚽, Yoon Young-seok (A),
83', Son Gun-ho ↓, Min Jun-Yeong ↑,
83', Valdivia ↓, Kim Kyeong-Jun ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Kim J. ⚽,
86', Min Jun-Yeong 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 3, Kim J. ⚽,
90+4', Cristian Renato ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 1.

Jeonnam Dragons is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Busan I Park could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeonnam Dragons won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeonnam Dragons won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
16	Jeonnam	25	4	9	12	28:43	-15	21

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
07.06.26	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Seoul E-Land	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLTT
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
05.06.26	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
21.09.25	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1
15.06.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:1
05.04.25	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1
21.11.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:0
15.09.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	1:2
20.07.24	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	2:3
07.04.24	Busan I Park - Jeonnam Dragons	0:1

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