Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan I Park		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.5	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.05	1.52
	5.4	4	1.53
	5.72	4.35	1.55
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	5.6	3.92	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.35)	3.93 ↑ (3.55)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
16.8%

Draw
23.4%

Gwangju
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.5%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwangju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwangju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	21.9%	68.7%

Busan I Park - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Gwangju will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busan I Park won 1.

Busan I Park is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gwangju is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwangju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gwangju is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Busan I Park won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan I Park won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
18.07.22	Busan I Park - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
09.07.22	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
06.07.22	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:3 ✺
03.07.22	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLLW
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
15.07.22	Gwangju - Anyang	0:0 ✺
11.07.22	Seoul E-Land - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
05.07.22	Gwangju - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	Gimpo - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Gwangju - Gyeongnam	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
28.05.22	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:3
06.04.22	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:0
South Korean K-League 1
18.07.20	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:0
14.06.20	Gwangju - Busan I Park	3:1
South Korean K-League 2
23.09.19	Busan I Park - Gwangju	3:2
17.08.19	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:1
12.05.19	Busan I Park - Gwangju	1:1

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