Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday


	Daejeon Citizen		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5	Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.8	Watch
	1.56	3.95	5.2
	1.59	4.17	5.56
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.53	4.1	5.4	Watch
	1.56	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	3.92 ↑ (3.44)	5.2 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
58.9%

Draw
23.4%

Jeonnam Dragons
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daejeon Citizen's performance.

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeonnam Dragons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daejeon Citizen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeonnam Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	19.2%	7.7%

Daejeon Citizen - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Daejeon Citizen is Qualified for K League 1 (Promotion)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daejeon Citizen won 3.

Daejeon Citizen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jeonnam Dragons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jeonnam Dragons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Daejeon Citizen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Daejeon Citizen to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Daejeon Citizen won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 34-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Daejeon Citizen won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 2
02.10.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Daejeon Citizen - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
21.09.22	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
13.09.22	Busan I Park - Daejeon Citizen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
02.10.22	Gyeongnam - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
26.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
14.09.22	Ansan Greeners - Jeonnam Dragons	1:7 ✺
11.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Gwangju	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
17.09.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	1:1
04.06.22	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonnam Dragons	3:2
05.04.22	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	0:1
South Korean K-League 1
03.11.21	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0
South Korean K-League 2
13.09.21	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1
08.08.21	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	0:0
05.05.21	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1

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