The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anyang 24.7%
Draw 27.1%
Daejeon Citizen 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
26.9%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anyang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anyang's form might have worsened.
Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daejeon Citizen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anyang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daejeon Citizen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Anyang - Daejeon Citizen Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Anyang will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Anyang: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 17. Kang Ji-hun 4. Lee Chang-Yong (C) 5. Kim Young-Chan 22. Kim Dong-Jin 24. Kim Bo-Kyung 26. Lee Jin-Yong 18. Knezevic B. 27. Choi Geon-Joo 28. Blaise Tsague 10. Jukic I.
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 11. Um Won-Sang 30. Kim Bong-Soo 6. Kang Yun-Sung 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C) 7. Ishida M.
Substitutes
11. Airton Moises 71. Chae Hyun-woo 13. Han K. 99. Ju Hyun-Woo 31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 25. Kim J. 19. Kim Un 21. Kwon Kyung-Won 7. Matheus Oliveira
9. Diogo Oliveira 45. Ha Chang-Rae 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 35. Kim D. 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 44. Lee Soon-Min 19. Seo Jin-Su 99. Yu Kang-Hyun
Coaches
Ryu Byeong-hoon
Hwang Sun-Hong
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Joo Min-Kyu ⚽,
31', Ishida M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Krivotsyuk A. ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lee Jin-Yong ↓, Kwon Kyung-Won ↑,
46', Kim Bo-Kyung ↓, Matheus Oliveira ↑,
53', Kim Bong-Soo 🟨,
57', Matheus Oliveira 🟨,
58', Blaise Tsague ↓, Kim Un ↑,
60', Kang Yun-Sung 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Lee Chang-Yong ⚽, Jukic I. (A),
68', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Chae Hyun-woo ↑,
68', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
69', Ishida M. ↓, Kim Hyeon-Ug ↑,
74', Ludwigson G. ↓, Ha Chang-Rae ↑,
83', Kim Bong-Soo ↓, Lee Soon-Min ↑,
83', Um Won-Sang ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
85', Jukic I. ↓, Han K. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anyang won 1.
Anyang is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Daejeon Citizen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Daejeon Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anyang won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Anyang won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Daejeon
31
11
10
10
48:38
10
43
8
Anyang
31
10
11
10
39:47
-8
41
Last Results with these Odds
Anyang - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.