Match Info

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday


	Daejeon Citizen		Gwangju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.6
	1.39	5.03	7.15
	1.39	4.86	6.9	Watch
	1.37	4.95	7.28	Watch
	1.37	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.79 ↓ (4.86)	6.91 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
67.2%

Draw
19.4%

Gwangju
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Daejeon Citizen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Gwangju is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 2.

Daejeon Citizen is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Gwangju have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gwangju may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Daejeon Citizen has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Daejeon Citizen holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Daejeon Citizen in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Daejeon Citizen has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Daejeon Citizen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
09.10.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Anyang	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWTW
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
11.10.26	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	4:3 ✺
20.09.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gwangju - Anyang	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Gwangju - Jeju	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0
02.05.26	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:5
17.08.25	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	2:0
22.06.25	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
29.03.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	1:1
02.11.24	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0
01.09.24	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0

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