The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daejeon Citizen 68%
Draw 19.2%
Gwangju 12.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.2%
19.2%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.3%
17.4%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 30. Kim Bong-Soo 6. Kang Yun-Sung 11. Um Won-Sang 7. Ishida M. 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C)
23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 4. van Grunsven T. 39. Min Sang-Gi 3. Lee Min-Ki 40. Shin Chang-Moo (C) 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 14. Yu Je-Ho 9. Ha Seung-Un 50. Ba Loua A. 18. Iredale J.
Substitutes
9. Diogo Oliveira 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 13. Kim Jin-Ya 14. Kim Jun-Beom 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 20. Lee H. 26. Lee Jung-Taek 41. Park Byung-chan 19. Seo Jin-Su
6. Ahn Young-Kyu 17. Joao Pedro 8. Ju Se-Jong 21. Kim Jong-Suk 70. Kim Woo-jin 1. Kyeong-Min K. 88. Moon Min-seo 33. Park Won-Jae 37. Ri Yong-jik
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong
Lee J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Iredale J. ⚽, Kwon Sung-Yun (A),
28', 0 - 2, Iredale J. ⚽, Kim Dong-Hwa (A),
29', Ishida M. ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
31', Yu Je-Ho 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Ri Yong-jik ↑,
46', Um Won-Sang ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
61', Ri Yong-jik 🟨,
61', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
73', Iredale J. ↓, Park Won-Jae ↑,
73', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
73', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Kim Jong-Suk ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Seo Jin-Su (Penalty Awarded),
74', Kim Dong-Hwa 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Diogo Oliveira ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
85', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
90+9', 3 - 2, Moon Min-seo (Own goal),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
Gwangju is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 2.
Daejeon Citizen is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Gwangju have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gwangju could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Daejeon Citizen enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Daejeon Citizen has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Daejeon Citizen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).