Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 37

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Victoria Road (London)


	Dagenham & Redbridge		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.5
	5	3.9	1.51
	5.6	4.25	1.47
	6.17	4.55	1.5
	5	3.75	1.57
	6.25	4.35	1.46
	5.6	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (4.03)	4.14 ↑ (3.78)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagenham & Redbridge
16.4%

Draw
22.2%

Wrexham
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.2%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

23.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dagenham & Redbridge's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	10%	85%

Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 1.

Recent matches Dagenham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wrexham in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dagenham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
04.03.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - York City	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Notts County - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Scunthorpe United - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWWL
- Wrexham AFC
English National League
04.03.23	Maidenhead United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
28.02.23	Wrexham - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Wrexham - Dorking Wanderers	3:1 ✺
21.02.23	Wrexham - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.09.22	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	4:1
15.05.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	3:0
18.09.21	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0
29.05.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	1:1
06.02.21	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2
01.02.20	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0
26.10.19	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	2:1

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