Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)


	Wrexham		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.65	3.7	4.7
	1.64	3.85	4.3
	1.68	3.94	5.03
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.66	3.85	4.7
	1.64	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)	4.51 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
55.4%

Draw
24.3%

Chesterfield
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	3.3%	6.7%

Wrexham - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chesterfield have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English National League
25.02.23	Wrexham - Dorking Wanderers	3:1 ✺
21.02.23	Wrexham - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	3:4 ✺
14.02.23	Wrexham - Woking	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Wrexham - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTW
- Chesterfield
English National League
25.02.23	Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.02.23	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Solihull Moors - Chesterfield	0:0 ✺
14.02.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Chesterfield - Notts County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.22	Chesterfield - Wrexham	2:0
22.02.22	Chesterfield - Wrexham	0:2
05.10.21	Wrexham - Chesterfield	1:1
24.04.21	Wrexham - Chesterfield	0:0
23.01.21	Chesterfield - Wrexham	2:1
08.02.20	Chesterfield - Wrexham	3:2
English FA Cup
22.10.19	Wrexham - Chesterfield	1:0

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