Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)


	Aldershot Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.5
	5.5	4	1.46
	5	4.6	1.5
	6.08	4.55	1.5
	7.5	4.2	1.38
	6.25	4.35	1.46
	5.6	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↓ (6.7)	4.24 ↑ (4.2)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
15.4%

Draw
21.8%

Wrexham
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

21.7%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

23.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aldershot Town - Wrexham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aldershot have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
14.02.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
11.02.23	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English National League
04.02.23	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Aldershot Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLT
- Wrexham AFC
English National League
14.02.23	Wrexham - Woking	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Wrexham - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.23	Sheffield United - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English National League
04.02.23	Altrincham - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
29.01.23	Wrexham - Sheffield United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.11.22	Wrexham - Aldershot Town	2:0
26.02.22	Wrexham - Aldershot Town	4:1
09.11.21	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	0:5
20.02.21	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	3:0
21.11.20	Wrexham - Aldershot Town	1:0
04.01.20	Wrexham - Aldershot Town	1:2
21.09.19	Aldershot Town - Wrexham	1:0

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