Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Thuwunna Stadium (Yangon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Pyone Play


	Dagon		Yadanarbon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4.35	3.95	Watch
	1.55	4.15	3.8
	1.6	4.41	4.12	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4
	1.57	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	4.2 ↓ (4.44)	4.02 ↓ (4.06)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagon
56.5%

Draw
21.3%

Yadanarbon
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

20.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

19.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Yadanarbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yadanarbon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Htwe Yan Kyaw (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 2 - 0, Thiha A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Nyein P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dagon won 1.

Dagon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yadanarbon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Dagon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dagon is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dagon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dagon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dagon	4	3	1	0	13:4	9	10
4	Yadanarbon	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagon FC
Myanmar National League
09.02.26	Dagon - ISPE	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Dagon Port - Dagon	2:2 ✺
29.01.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Dagon - Shan United	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Dagon - Hanthawaddy United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLW
- Yadanarbon FC
Myanmar National League
14.02.26	Yadanarbon - Shan United	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Rakhine United - Yadanarbon	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Yadanarbon - Thitsar Arman	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Yadanarbon - Yarmanya United	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	ISPE - Yadanarbon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
30.12.25	Yadanarbon - Dagon	2:2
Myanmar MNL League Cup
17.05.25	Yadanarbon - Dagon	3:1
Myanmar National League
18.02.25	Yadanarbon - Dagon	4:2
24.08.24	Dagon - Yadanarbon	1:1
29.07.23	Dagon - Yadanarbon	2:1
16.03.23	Yadanarbon - Dagon	2:1
10.08.19	Dagon - Yadanarbon	2:5

Dagon - Yadanarbon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide