Match Info

I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Dainava Alytus		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.22	5.5	9.2	Watch
	1.23	5.5	8.8
	1.28	4.92	9.18	Watch
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.24	5.05	10.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)	5.15 ↑ (4.48)	9.48 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
72.9%

Draw
17.6%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dainava Alytus's performance.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dainava Alytus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13)

Dainava is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hegelmann 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Dainava has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dainava is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
09.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.04.26	Viltis Vilnius - Dainava Alytus	1:7 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
24.04.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTW
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
11.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL

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