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Current Win Probability
Minija Kretinga 56.8%
Draw 23.7%
Dainava Alytus 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
22.4%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
21.6%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minija Kretinga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Gaudiesius V. (G) 45. Aderounmu K. 43. Diawara B. 7. Kasparavicius J. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 14. Komissarov N. 3. Mockus E. 9. Nwegbo D. 8. Pipiras D. 6. Sidibe M. 21. Zingertas L.
77. Mickevicius A. (C) 21. Abou S. 7. Appiah E. 88. Cepononis P. 4. Horodenko O. 18. Kotov I. 2. Mantinis K. 70. Morarenko S. 10. Obi Chinonso J. 20. Sacevicius K. 29. Zabita G.
Substitutes
27. Amirzian S. 4. Diawara M. 26. Genutis N. 13. Gumbaravicius G. 19. Keblys M. 10. Lee Min-Woo 22. Pipiras A. (G) 11. Putvinas A. 15. Sveistrys A. 20. Traore M.
5. Baffour A. 13. Faye C. 47. Jansonas D. 8. Maknevicius M. 1. Mykytenko B. (G) 98. Pedro B. 44. Sabonis P. 78. Shapoval V. 27. Siaudvytis L. 3. Siaudvytis S. 19. Zukauskas T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Zabita G. ⚽,
33', Aderounmu K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
58', Pipiras D. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
60', Kotov I. ↓, Faye C. ↑,
67', Diawara B. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Abou S. ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Zingertas L. ⚽,
72', Gorodenko O. 🟨,
75', Sidibe M. ↓, Sveistrys A. ↑,
75', Aderounmu K. ↓, Lee Min-Woo ↑,
76', Gorodenko O. ↓, Pedro B. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Nwegbo D. ⚽,
81', Obi Chinonso J. ↓, Shapoval V. ↑,
85', Mantinis K. 🟨,
90+3', Komissarov N. 🟨,
90+4', Morarenko S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 2.
Minija is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dainava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dainava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Minija has had a series of away games.
Recently, Dainava has had a series of home games.
In this match, Minija is a strong favorite.
We predict that Minija will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minija won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
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Gaudiesius V. (G) 
Aderounmu K. 
Diawara B. 
Komissarov N. 
Abou S. 
Appiah E. 
Horodenko O. 
Kotov I. 
Lee Min-Woo 
Pedro B. 
