Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Dainava Alytus		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.55
	2.35	3.25	2.62
	2.45	3.22	2.57
	2.49	3.22	2.63	Watch
	2.40	3.15	2.50
	2.4	3.4	2.6
	2.55	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.49)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
37.1%

Draw
27.7%

Neptūnas
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 4).

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Dainava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dainava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
8	Dainava Alytus	25	11	7	7	35:25	10	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest	2:1 penalties ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.26	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai B	5:0 ✺
12.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Garliava	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
10.06.26	Neptūnas - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.09.22	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	3:1
29.04.22	Neptūnas - Dainava Alytus	3:0

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