Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LNK
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.75	1.33	Watch
	6.66	4.62	1.32
	7.17	4.63	1.36	Watch
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	7.08	4.55	1.35
	3.6	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↓ (6.44)	4.4 ↓ (4.48)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
14.5%

Draw
20.8%

Neptūnas
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

20.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.8%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Neptūnas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ekranas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
22.04.26	Neptūnas - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
31.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	0:1
22.06.25	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0
03.11.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:1
14.06.24	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	5:0

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