Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Dalian Kewei		Shenzhen 2028

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.00	3.70
	2.12	2.92	3.2
	2.24	3.01	3.42
	1.96	3.03	4.04	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.15
	2.18	3.12	3.43	Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 (2.1)	3 (3)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kewei
43.3%

Draw
30.3%

Shenzhen 2028
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kewei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shenzhen 2028 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen 2028 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhang Chong (G) 8. Ablimit Dilshat 5. Fu Yuncheng 35. Wang Peng (C) 14. Li Zhen 27. Li Yang 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 37. Huang Jianming 19. Zhang Huajun 39. Zhang Dachi 18. Yao Xuchen	43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 5. Hai J. 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 17. Shi Z. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 28. Wang Zhiyuan 47. Huang Z. 15. Chen Z. 57. Wang Ziyang
Substitutes
36. Ai Chuwei 29. Chen Yongze 25. Fang Peicheng 11. Ge Yuxiang 6. Liu Xiaolong 9. Liu Zhizhi 12. Li Wuze 26. Lu C. 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 3. Yu Yanhao 30. Yu Zeyuan 2. Zhang Zhen	29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 30. Hu H. 49. Jiang W. 20. Li L. 10. Li P. 27. Liu Q. 11. Lu C. 9. Luo Kaisa 24. Pan N. 12. Yongsu Huang
Coaches
Xu Hui	Wang Baoshan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Wang Ziyang (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Huang Jianming ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
46', Li Yang ↓, Lu C. ↑,
52', Chen Z. 🟨,
55', Zhang Huajun ↓, Chen Yongze ↑,
60', Shi Z. 🟨,
60', Shi Z. ↓, Li P. ↑,
69', Peyzullah Bahtiyar ↓, Zhang Zhen ↑,
71', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
76', Li Zhen ↓, Yu Zeyuan ↑,
79', Huang Z. ↓, Li L. ↑,
79', Li Mingjie ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
80', Zhang Zhen 🟨,

Preview

Dalian Kewei is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Shenzhen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Dalian Kewei is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dalian Kewei	25	11	11	3	24:14	10	44
6	Shenzhen	25	11	8	6	38:27	11	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kewei
Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dalian Kewei - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Shandong Taishan B - Dalian Kewei	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Dalian Yingbo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWTW
- Shenzhen 2028 FC
Chinese Yi League
13.09.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen 2028	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Ganzhou Ruishi	6:0 ✺
01.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shenzhen 2028	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTWL

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