Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Guiyang Olympic Sports Center (Guiyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8


	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic		Dalian Kewei

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	2.80	3.40
	2.02	2.72	3.8
	2.05	2.86	3.99
	2.06	2.86	3.95	Watch
	2.02	2.8	3.9
	2.19	3.03	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	2.85 ↓ (3.03)	3.76 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
43.9%

Draw
32%

Dalian Kewei
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Dalian Kewei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Chen J. (G) 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 35. Lu Wentao 25. Ma Chongchong 40. Chen Y. 24. Wu Zhongcan 15. Abduklim Merdanjan 10. Chen Chenzhenyang 11. Liao Chongjiu 22. Kong Yinquan 7. Liu Yujie	1. Zhang Chong (G) 8. Ablimit Dilshat 5. Fu Yuncheng 35. Wang Peng (C) 14. Li Zhen 27. Li Yang 20. Zhang Xianbing 11. Ge Yuxiang 18. Yao Xuchen 30. Yu Zeyuan 39. Zhang Dachi
Substitutes
44. Cai Zhuohao 28. Chen Long 21. Hu Mingtian 41. Jinghang Z. 57. Li Xi'nan 42. Luo Wenqi 8. Sun Enming 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 31. Yan H. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong 20. Zhou Z.	36. Ai Chuwei 29. Chen Yongze 37. Huang Jianming 6. Liu Xiaolong 9. Liu Zhizhi 12. Li Wuze 26. Lu C. 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 3. Yu Yanhao 19. Zhang Huajun 2. Zhang Zhen
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Xu Hui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yu Zeyuan ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
46', Liu Yujie ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
58', Ge Yuxiang ↓, Huang Jianming ↑,
65', Wu Zhongcan ↓, Li Xi'nan ↑,
70', Chen Chenzhenyang ↓, Zhou Z. ↑,
76', Yao Xuchen ↓, Chen Yongze ↑,
76', Li Yang ↓, Lu C. ↑,
80', Liao Chongjiu 🟨,
80', Chen Y. ↓, Hu Mingtian ↑,
81', Liao Chongjiu ↓, Chen Long ↑,
84', Li Xi'nan 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Chen Yongze ⚽, Zhang Huajun (A),
90', Zhang Dachi ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
90+3', Zhang Xianbing 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guizhou Guiyang will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Guizhou Guiyang	25	14	3	8	34:20	14	45
5	Dalian Kewei	25	11	11	3	24:14	10	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Chengdu Rongcheng B	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	4:3 ✺
05.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shenzhen 2028	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLWW
- Dalian Kewei
Chinese Yi League
22.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dalian Kewei - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Shandong Taishan B - Dalian Kewei	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Dalian Yingbo B	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWL

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