Match Info

League Two - Round 22

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shenzhen 2028		Hubei Istar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.00
	1.46	3.75	5.9	Watch
	1.63	3.93	4.45
	1.81	3.91	3.57	Watch
	1.7	3.4	3.65
	1.87	3.64	3.84
	1.44	3.9	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)	4.45 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen 2028
55.2%

Draw
24.3%

Hubei Istar
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen 2028 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shenzhen 2028's form might have worsened.

Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen 2028 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shenzhen 2028, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hubei Istar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Shenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hubei Istar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 5. Hai J. 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 47. Huang Z. 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 11. Lu C. 20. Li L. 49. Jiang W.	1. Meng Derui (G) 13. Pan Jinglue 27. Zhang Yixuan 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 3. Tang Xin 7. Guo Yi 30. Li Yubing 15. Nur Sherzat 12. Lin F. 10. Wen Jialong 21. Li B.
Substitutes
15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 44. Huang Junxuan 30. Hu H. 27. Liu Q. 9. Luo Kaisa 24. Pan N. 17. Shi Z. 28. Wang Zhiyuan 57. Wang Ziyang 12. Yongsu Huang	36. Bian Weihao 33. Hongxiang S. 59. Huang Bo 32. Jiang Chengen (G) 55. Liu Mingyu 57. Li X. 19. Qu D. 9. Shan Huanhuan 4. Sun Tianyu 23. Sun W. 16. Wei Deliang (G) 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 14. Zhang Chengji
Coaches
Wang Baoshan	Wan Houliang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Lu C. ↓, Yongsu Huang ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jiang W. ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑,
55', Lin F. ↓, Zhang Chengji ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Zhang Chengji ⚽, Wen Jialong (A),
68', Nur Sherzat ↓, Hongxiang S. ↑,
68', Li Mingjie ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
68', Li L. ↓, Wang Zhiyuan ↑,
77', Hai J. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
86', Guo Yi ↓, Sun Tianyu ↑,
86', Li Yubing ↓, Liu Mingyu ↑,
88', Liu Mingyu 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Shenzhen is Qualified for League Two (Promotion Group )

Shenzhen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hubei Istar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Hubei Istar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shenzhen is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shenzhen	25	11	8	6	38:27	11	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen 2028 FC
Chinese Yi League
16.08.26	Wenzhou Professional - Shenzhen 2028	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Ganzhou Ruishi	6:0 ✺
01.08.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shenzhen 2028	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Shenzhen 2028	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Shenzhen 2028 - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWW
- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
16.08.26	Hubei Istar - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Hubei Istar	3:2 ✺
05.08.26	Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Hubei Istar - Guangdong Mingtu	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Hubei Istar - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Shenzhen 2028 - Hubei Istar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide