Match Info

Jia League - Round 23

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Dalian Kun City		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.45	1.8
	4.01	3.83	1.81
	3.87	3.27	1.96	Watch
	4.2	3.47	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	1.85 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
23.5%

Draw
26.5%

Liaoning Tieren
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.2%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fan Jinming (C) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 5. Lin Longchang 24. Musa S. I. 32. Song Chen 41. Deng Chunze 26. Cui Ming'an 8. Wu Y. 39. Lei Wenjie 31. Dominic Vinicius 30. Mushekwi N.	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 4. Liu Langzhou 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. 14. Zang Yifeng (C) 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
17. Chen Jiaqi 20. Chen Rong 15. Ji Zhengyu 18. Lu Pin 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 9. Ning F. 2. Wei Lai 27. Yan Shoukuan 23. Yin Lu 12. Zhao Shuhao 25. Zhuang Q. 10. Zhu Shiyu	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 21. Nur Sherzat 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Tian Deao 16. Wang Tianci 37. Zhang Jiaming 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Zhao Faqing	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
39', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
73', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
74', Song Chen ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
78', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
79', Lei Wenjie 🟨,
85', Wu Y. ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
85', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
86', Tian Yinong ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
90+7', Cui Ming'an ↓, Zhu Shiyu ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Dalian Kun City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Liaoning Tieren might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dalian Kun City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
13.09.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dalian Kun City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
13.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Liaoning Tieren	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Liaoning Tieren	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Liaoning Tieren - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.05.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City	2:1

Upcoming Matches