Match Info

Jia League - Round 18

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Yanbian Longding		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.2	2
	3.2	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.44	3.35	2.13
	3.70	3.47	1.96	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.33	3.22	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
27.2%

Draw
27.7%

Liaoning Tieren
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Liaoning Tieren (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 28. Nunez V. 5. Domingos J. 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 20. Jin Taiyan 17. Piao Shihao 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. 14. Li Long	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 5. Li Peng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.
Substitutes
19. Dong Jialin (G) 8. Han Guangmin 32. Li Da 22. Li Jinyu 6. Li Qiang 1. Li Shengmin (G) 7. Li Shibin 23. Li Ximin 31. Qian Changjie 29. Ukachukwu P. 35. Wang Chengkuai 38. Wang Zihao	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 4. Liu Langzhou 32. Mao Kaiyu 21. Nur Sherzat 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Tian Deao 25. Yang Jian 41. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Li Jinyu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Domingos J. 🟨,
38', Li Peng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Xu Wenguang ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
60', Huang Zhenfei 🟨,
62', Jin Taiyan ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
68', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Pan Ximing (A),
76', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
77', Piao Shihao ↓, Ukachukwu P. ↑,
84', Domingos J. ↓, Li Qiang ↑,
90+2', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
90+2', Li Shibin 🟨,
90+3', Liu Weiguo 🟨,
90+5', Mbenza G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Yanbian Longding has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Liaoning Tieren is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Yanbian Longding has had a series of home games.

Liaoning Tieren might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
19.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
19.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tongliang Long	4:2 ✺
12.07.25	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
06.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1
15.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1
28.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
18.10.23	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:0
02.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	2:0

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