Match Info

Jia League - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.32	3	2.88
	2.52	3.08	2.8
	2.19	3.06	3.42	Watch
	2.35	3.08	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.86)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.92 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
38.6%

Draw
30.1%

Dalian Kun City
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.5%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28.1%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's performance.

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Kun City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Pingguo Haliao that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wang Jinshuai (C) 36. Yang Minjie 5. Yao Diran 4. Feng Yifan 45. Huang Wei 11. Liu Hao 10. Asamoah S. 32. You Wenjie 8. Hu Jiajin 38. Zhang Wei 43. Cheukoua M.	29. Fan Jinming (G) 5. Lin Longchang (C) 24. Musa S. I. 15. Ji Zhengyu 32. Song Chen 20. Chen Rong 8. Wu Y. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 26. Cui Ming'an 41. Deng Chunze 31. Dominic Vinicius
Substitutes
28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 22. He Lipan (G) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 39. Lu Chenghe 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 34. Xiang Rongjun 17. Yang Jingfan 16. Zhang Zili 35. Zhu Yue	17. Chen Jiaqi 1. Ma Kunyue (G) 33. Sun Weijia 2. Wei Lai 27. Yan Shoukuan 12. Zhao Shuhao 25. Zhuang Q. 10. Zhu Shiyu
Coaches
Maeda K.	Zhao Faqing

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', You Wenjie ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Hu Jiajin ⚽, Cheukoua M. (A),
63', Deng Chunze ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
63', Musa S. I. ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
72', Liu Hao ↓, Xiang Rongjun ↑,
73', Cui Ming'an 🟨,
78', Hu Jiajin ↓, Zhang Zili ↑,
82', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
82', Chen Rong ↓, Yan Shoukuan ↑,
89', Yang Minjie ↓, Chen Shaohao ↑,
90+5', Asamoah S. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Wu Y. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 4).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Dalian Kun City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
16.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.4 WWWTL
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
06.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dalian Kun City - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City	0:4 ✺
27.07.25	Dalian Kun City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1

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