Match Info

League One - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dalian Kun City		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.30	4.10
	1.8	3.3	3.95	Watch
	1.87	3.72	4.12
	1.8	3.51	4.37	Watch
	1.81	3.65	3.95
	1.79	3.53	4.36	Watch
	1.81	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.54)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	4.12 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
51.1%

Draw
26.5%

Suzhou Dongwu
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

16.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Suzhou Dongwu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Kun City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dalian Kun City will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ma Kunyue (G) 2. Wang Wenxuan 13. Wang Yaopeng (C) 3. Lu Kun 40. Eysajan Elkut 8. Wu Y. 14. Long Tingwei 10. Hansen K. 11. Bayala C. 30. Mushekwi N. 25. Yan Y.	1. Liu Yu (G) 36. Yuan J. 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 6. Estrela (C) 16. Zhao S. 9. Ali M. 7. Farley Rosa 20. Chen Rong 14. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
26. Cui Ming'an 6. Ji Zhengyu 39. Lei Wenjie 5. Lin Longchang 22. Liu Yun 42. Ma Yujun 4. Shiming Liu 17. Sui Weijie (G) 18. Xu Dongdong 9. Yan P. 21. You Sihan 27. Zhang Hongjiang	42. Arafat Ghenifa 37. Askhan (G) 33. Liu Jiqiang 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 18. Tai Jianfeng 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 25. Yu Z. 24. Zhang Jiansheng
Coaches
Zhang Yaokun	Guo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Mijit M. ↓, Wang Yulong ↑,
19', Zhao S. 🟨,
40', Lu Kun 🟨,
45', Wang Yaopeng 🟨,
45+1', Bugiel O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Long Tingwei ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
65', Mushekwi N. ↓, Cui Ming'an ↑,
65', Ali M. 🟨,
80', Chen Rong ↓, Arafat Ghenifa ↑,
82', Yan Y. ↓, You Sihan ↑,
82', Eysajan Elkut ↓, Shiming Liu ↑,
82', Lu Kun ↓, Xu Dongdong ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Dalian Kun City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Suzhou Dongwu has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dalian Kun City is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dalian Kun City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dalian Kun City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dalian K'un City	25	7	8	10	30:37	-7	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
18.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	5:4 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
17.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Yunnan Yukun	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.03.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City	1:2
03.08.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City	0:4
13.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0

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