Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)


	Yanbian Longding		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	3.40	5.00
	1.60	3.50	5.30	Watch
	1.74	3.40	6.17
	1.56	3.73	6.15	Watch
	1.70	3.05	6.10
	1.70	3.72	4.65	Watch
	1.64	3.35	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)	3.45 ↓ (3.8)	5.51 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
56.3%

Draw
26.9%

Suzhou Dongwu
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

23.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 15. Xu Jizu 4. Nunez V. 17. Piao Shihao (C) 33. Hu Ziqian 5. Domingos J. 23. Wang Zihao 20. Jin Taiyan 14. Cui Taixu 37. Giovanny 10. Brown F.	1. Liu Yu (G) 24. Zhang Jiansheng 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 36. Yuan J. 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 7. Farley Rosa 42. Arafat Ghenifa 14. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 19. Duan Dezhi 40. Jin Xingdao 36. Li R. 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu	9. Ali M. 37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 30. He Haohan 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 18. Tai Jianfeng 39. Tian Jiahao 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Farley Rosa ⚽,
26', Estrela 🟨,
40', Gao D. 🟨,
43', Zhang Jiansheng 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Wang Zihao ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Brown F. ⚽,
68', Hu Ziqian 🟨,
71', Yuan J. ↓, Wang Jiancong ↑,
71', Bugiel O. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
83', Cui Taixu ↓, Li R. ↑,
83', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Wang Yulong ↑,
83', Nunez V. ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Giovanny ⚽, Jin Taiyan (A),
88', Zhao S. ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
88', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Song Pan ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Brown F. ⚽, Jin Taiyan (A),
90+3', Piao Shihao ↓, Yang Erhai ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Yanbian Longding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Suzhou Dongwu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Suzhou Dongwu has had a series of home games.

In this match, Yanbian Longding is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Yanbian Longding	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTW
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2 ✺
28.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Yunnan Yukun	2:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.10.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding	1:1
01.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1
07.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	0:5
10.03.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding	1:1
29.07.23	Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2

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