Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.20	3.60
	1.72	3.3	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.52	4.99
	1.91	3.39	3.96	Watch
	1.75	3.45	4.6
	1.71	3.53	4.93	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)	3.39 ↓ (3.7)	4.38 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
51.7%

Draw
27.2%

Dalian Kun City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.6%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Guangxi Hengchen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 2. Lu Jiaqiang 3. Yuan X. (C) 6. Chen G. 18. Wei Chaolun 44. Liang Yibin 7. Chen D. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	33. Ma Kunyue (G) 18. Xu Dongdong 2. Wang Wenxuan 6. Ji Zhengyu (C) 4. Shiming Liu 3. Lu Kun 22. Liu Yun 8. Wu Y. 14. Long Tingwei 10. Hansen K. 11. Bayala C.
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 10. Ardazishvili R. 19. Cen Liyi 1. Dai Jiatong (G) 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 23. Khedrup Lobsang 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 12. Yao-hsing Yu	1. Chen P. (G) 26. Cui Ming'an 7. Feng Zeyuan 16. Hu Zhengjun 39. Lei Wenjie 42. Ma Yujun 30. Mushekwi N. 17. Sui Weijie (G) 9. Yan P. 21. You Sihan 27. Zhang Hongjiang 29. Zheng Weijie
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Zhang Yaokun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Lapoussin L. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 1, Bayala C. ⚽, Lu Kun (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lu Jiaqiang ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
46', Xu Dongdong ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
46', Bayala C. ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
67', Ji Zhengyu ↓, Mushekwi N. ↑,
67', Liu Yun ↓, You Sihan ↑,
71', Liang Yibin ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
82', Wu Y. ↓, Cui Ming'an ↑,
89', Chen D. ↓, Lu Junhui ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Ji Tianle ⚽, Lu Junhui (A),
90+6', Ji Tianle 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Guangxi Hengchen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dalian Kun City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
11	Dalian K'un City	25	7	8	10	30:37	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi	3:3 ✺
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTTT
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
27.06.26	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	5:4 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Kun City	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
28.09.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City	0:2
24.08.24	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0

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