Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Dalian Pro		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.1
	3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.29	3.87	2.07
	3	3.6	2.05
	3.2	3.72	2.08
	3.15	3.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.18)	3.7 ↑ (3.69)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
30.1%

Draw
25.1%

Wuhan Three Towns
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

24.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Wuhan Three Towns aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	30.8%	61.5%

Dalian Pro - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dalian Pro will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan Three Towns: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 11. Mamba S. 18. He Yupeng 6. Wang Xianjun 14. Huang Jiahui 5. Wu Wei 31. Lu Peng 23. Shang Yin 39. Yan Xiangchuang (C) 10. Tsonev B. 17. Manzoki C.	22. Liu Dianzuo (G) 26. He Guan 23. Hang Ren (C) 20. Gao Zhunyi 25. Han-Wen D. 8. Yan Dinghao 15. Jiang Zhipeng 21. He Chao 30. Xie Pengfei 9. Aziz 11. Davidson
Substitutes
40. Bosancic N. 28. Fei Yu 2. Lin Longchang 16. Liu Le 4. Nunez V. 9. Shan Huanhuan 13. Wang Yaopeng 35. Wang Yu 19. Wang Zhenao 1. Zhang Chong (G) 15. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhu Ting	24. Duan Liuyu 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 18. Liu Yiming 2. Li Y. 32. Lu Haidong 14. Luo Jing 13. Marcao 5. Park Ji-Su 29. Tao Qianglong 28. Wang Denny 4. Wei Shihao 12. Zhang Xiaobin
Coaches
Xie Hui	Takahata T.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Wuhan Three Towns will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
30.09.23	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
23.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.08.23	Dalian Pro - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTLW
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Pohang Steelers - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
29.09.23	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
28.06.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Dalian Pro	0:0
14.12.22	Dalian Pro - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2
25.10.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Dalian Pro	4:0

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