Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sport 1+
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Wuhan Three Towns		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.26	3.91	1.79
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	4.33	3.78	1.78	Watch
	3.95	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (5.95)	3.67 ↓ (4.55)	1.78 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
22.5%

Draw
25.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

20.6%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

21.3%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan Three Towns's performance.

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Urawa Red Diamonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Urawa Red Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Wuhan Three Towns - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan Three Towns: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Liu Dianzuo (G) 26. He Guan 23. Hang Ren (C) 5. Park Ji-Su 25. Han-Wen D. 12. Zhang Xiaobin 21. He Chao 7. Wei Shihao 11. Davidson 9. Aziz 30. Xie Pengfei	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 4. Iwanami T. 28. Scholz A. 66. Ohata A. 3. Ito A. 19. Iwao K. (C) 18. Takahashi T. 25. Yasui K. 8. Koizumi Y. 9. Linssen B.
Substitutes
17. Chen Yuhao 24. Duan Liuyu 20. Gao Zhunyi 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 45. Huang Zhouxin (G) 15. Jiang Zhipeng 18. Liu Yiming 2. Li Y. 32. Lu Haidong 14. Luo Jing 8. Yan Dinghao 19. Zhang Wentao	15. Akimoto T. 35. Hayakawa J. 40. Hirano Y. 5. Hoibraaten M. 29. Horiuchi Y. 11. Kante 30. Koroki S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 27. Panya E. 14. Sekine T. 22. Shibato K.
Coaches
Takahata T.	Skorza M.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Urawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wuhan Three Towns have a series of home games.

In this match Urawa is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
15.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Nantong Zhiyun	4:2 ✺
19.08.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
09.08.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
15.09.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
10.09.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	3:0 ✺
06.09.23	Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
02.09.23	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Shonan Bellmare - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWTW

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