Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 9

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)

Referee: Wang J. (Chn)


	Dalian Young Boy		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.51	3.97	6.62
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.48	3.9	6.83	Watch
	1.48	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.78)	3.82 ↑ (3.36)	6.36 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
61.7%

Draw
23.9%

Guangzhou Evergrande
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Young Boy's performance.

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Evergrande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Young Boy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Evergrande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 2. Zhang Zhen 6. Robson 26. Zhongkai C. 18. He Xiaoqiang 39. Yan Xiangchuang 21. Lu Peng 22. Mao W. 29. Sun B. 7. Embalo J. 44. Kotnik A.	32. Huo S. (G) 5. Wang Shilong 8. Sadauskas R. 3. Liu Langzhou 15. Xu Bin 23. Yang Dejiang 28. Penaloza J. 18. Liao Jintao 21. Wang Shijie 9. Alegria J. 11. Aniwar Abduwahap
Substitutes
15. Fu Yuncheng 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 5. Jin Pengxiang 14. Li Z. 38. Lu Zhuoyi 12. Wang Shengbo 10. Wang Xuanhong 31. Wu Xinze 9. Yan P. 4. Zhao Xuebin 16. Zhu P.	1. Askhan (G) 6. Hou Yu 7. Kurban Eysajan 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 14. Wu Yongqiang 17. Yang Hao 16. Zhang Zhixiong
Coaches
Li G.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Mao W. 🟨,
17', Embalo J. 🟥,
38', Xu Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yang Dejiang ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
46', Xu Bin ↓, Hou Yu ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Alegria J. (Pen),
52', Aniwar Abduwahap 🟨,
56', Mao W. ↓, Zhu P. ↑,
56', Yan Xiangchuang ↓, Wang Xuanhong ↑,
56', Zhang Zhen ↓, Lu Zhuoyi ↑,
63', Hou Yu 🟨,
63', Sun B. ↓, Zhao Xuebin ↑,
67', Wang Shijie ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
67', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Kurban Eysajan ↑,
71', Kurban Eysajan 🟨,
75', Wang Xuanhong 🟨,
79', Kotnik A. ↓, Yan P. ↑,
81', Wu Yongqiang 🟨,
83', Penaloza J. ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
90+4', Huo S. 🟨,
90+12', Sui Weijie 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 8).

Dalian Young Boy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dalian Young Boy is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dalian Young Boy to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 ✺
05.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Dalian Young Boy - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWTW
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
27.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yunnan Yukun	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL

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