Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 7

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.5	4.4
	1.68	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.64	4.67
	1.74	3.64	4.67
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.67	3.69	4.72	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.62 ↑ (3.61)	4.51 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
54.3%

Draw
25.4%

Wuxi Wugou
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Guangzhou Evergrande have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 5. Wang Shilong 8. Sadauskas R. 3. Liu Langzhou 28. Penaloza J. 18. Liao Jintao 6. Hou Yu (C) 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 21. Wang Shijie 19. Wu Junjie 14. Wu Yongqiang	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 18. Yue Zhilei 23. Yang Wenji 29. Jiang Zhixin 33. Pobulic D. 10. Tong Le (C) 11. Mandic S. 8. Zhang Yuanshu 7. Guo Song 14. Shohret R.
Substitutes
1. Askhan (G) 7. Kurban Eysajan 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban Weli 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 2. Wang Wenxuan 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 29. Zhang Dachi 16. Zhang Zhixiong	39. Fu Hao 32. Gao Hanfei 21. He Mingli 17. Hu Shengjia 4. Liang Jinhu 19. Li Boxi 25. Lin F. 16. Liu Wenhao 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G)
Coaches
Suay S.	Cuadrado I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Mandic S. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Sadauskas R. ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
27', Mandic S. 🟨,
34', Yue Zhilei 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Tong Le ↓, Hu Shengjia ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Liu Langzhou ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
66', Liao Jintao 🟨,
74', Guo Song ↓, Liu Wenhao ↑,
74', Pobulic D. ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
80', Wang Shijie ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
87', Tursunjan Ahmat ↓, Li Boxi ↑,
88', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Kurban Eysajan ↑,
88', Penaloza J. ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
90+3', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wuxi Wugou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
14.04.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Yunnan Yukun	0:5 ✺
25.03.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLTW
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
13.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Red Lions	1:6 ✺
31.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Wuxi Wugou	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
09.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	1:2
18.06.23	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1

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