Match Info

CHINA: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 June 2023, Friday


	Dandong Tengyue		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4	5.5	Watch
	1.45	4	6
	1.46	3.84	5.46
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.47	4.2	6.4	Watch
	1.57	3.55	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (3.76)	3.89 ↑ (3.37)	5.91 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandong Tengyue
61.4%

Draw
23.3%

Qingdao Hainiu
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.2%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandong Tengyue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandong Tengyue's performance.

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Hainiu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (-37.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandong Tengyue that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+34.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Hainiu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dandong Tengyue will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dandong Tengyue: 79.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Dandong Tengyue is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao Hainiu has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dandong Tengyue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dandong Tengyue have a series of guest games.

In this match Dandong Tengyue is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
17.06.23	Nanjing City - Dandong Tengyue	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Qingdao West Coast - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Hubei Istar - Dandong Tengyue	1:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
28.05.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Dandong Tengyue	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
08.06.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
23.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Zhejiang Professional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

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