The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qingdao Hainiu 19.8%
Draw 20.6%
Shanghai Shenhua 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
23.5%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
21.7%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Hainiu's form might have worsened.
Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Shanghai Shenhua will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Mu Pengfei (G) 37. Wei Zixian 4. Jin Yangyang 26. Andjelkovic N. (C) 23. Song Long 31. Luo Senwen 6. Edjouma M. 7. Yeboah Y. 8. Lin Chuangyi 34. Jin Yonghao 21. Liu Guobao
1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 6. Li Songyi 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 9. Rafael Ratao 30. Xie Pengfei 19. Asue L.
Substitutes
20. Gong Ruicong 16. Li Hailong 39. Li S. 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 3. Liu Junshuai 9. Liu Xinyu 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 19. Song Wenjie 10. Strandberg C. 17. Wang Qiao 22. Yang Cong
45. Han Jiawen 36. Huang Ming 24. Ma Zhen (G) 11. Saulo Mineiro 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Qipeng 21. Xu Haoyang 26. Yang Shuai 16. Yang Zexiang 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Ristic M.
Slutski L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Xie Pengfei ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
48', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Liu Junshuai ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Xu Haoyang ⚽, Asue L. (A),
57', Liu Guobao ↓, Song Wenjie ↑,
57', Wei Zixian ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
70', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
70', Song Long ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
76', Gao Tianyi ↓, Wu Qipeng ↑,
82', Liu Junshuai 🟨,
82', Rafael Ratao ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
86', Asue L. ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,
90+6', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 0.
Qingdao Hainiu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Shanghai Shenhua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Qingdao Hainiu has had a series of away games.
In this match, Shanghai Shenhua is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: El Messaoudi A.
(Injury)
Li Suda
(Red Card)
Tufegdzic L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Teixeira J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong
(Illness)
Ke L.
(Injury)
Liu Chengyu
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 3:21. (average 0.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:1.2).
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Mu Pengfei (G) 
Andjelkovic N. (C) 
Edjouma M. 
Yeboah Y. 
Manafa W. 
Chan Shinichi 
Rafael Ratao 
Asue L. 
Strandberg C. 
Slutski L. 
