Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Changchun Yatai		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.33	3.48	2.22
	19.90	7.10	1.14	Watch
	3.26	3.44	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.59 ↑ (2.67)	4.14 ↑ (3.44)	1.97 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
16.8%

Draw
26.8%

Qingdao Hainiu
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.1%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Changchun Yatai will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 4. Rosic L. 17. He Yiran 15. Xu Haofeng 37. Zhao Yingjie 21. Piao Taoyu 5. Li Shenyuan 35. Peng Xinli 29. Tan Long (C) 10. Omoijuanfo O.	22. Han Rongze (G) 34. Jin Yonghao 26. Radmanovac N. 4. Jin Yangyang 3. Liu Junshuai 37. Wei Suowei 17. Mijit Mewlan 8. Lin Chuangyi 6. Filipe Augusto 11. Wellington Silva (C) 60. Lamkel Ze D.
Substitutes
1. An Z. (G) 40. Asqer A. 25. Cyprien W. 36. Liu Guobao 30. Sun Qinhan 31. Sunzu S. 11. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 22. Wang Yu 24. Yan Zhiyu 6. Zhang Huachen 7. Zhou Junchen	30. Che Shiwei 16. Li Hailong 33. Liu Jiashen 1. Liu Jun (G) 31. Luo Senwen 28. Mu Pengfei (G) 23. Song Long 19. Song Wenjie 14. Sun Zheng'ao 38. Wong Ho-Chun Anson 2. Xiao Kun 13. Zhang Chi
Coaches
Soares R.	Li Xiaopeng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Wang Zhifeng 🟥,
11', Peng Xinli 🟨,
14', Zhao Yingjie ↓, An Z. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Lin Chuangyi ⚽,
45+7', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Liu Junshuai ↓, Liu Jiashen ↑,
46', Peng Xinli ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
46', Piao Taoyu ↓, Cyprien W. ↑,
48', Asqer A. 🟨,
50', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
51', Jin Yonghao ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
54', Wellington Silva 🟨,
58', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
58', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
67', Xiao Kun 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Xiao Kun ⚽, Wellington Silva (A),
74', Peng Xinli ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
81', Liu Jiashen 🟨,
85', He Yiran ↓, Liu Guobao ↑,
87', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
90+5', 2 - 2, Asqer A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Qingdao Hainiu has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wu Yake (Injury) Xuan Z. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan (Inactive)

There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
20.09.25	Changchun Yatai - Zhejiang Professional	3:3 ✺
12.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLTWW
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
20.09.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	3:0
30.06.24	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	5:0
08.03.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	0:1
26.08.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	1:0
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai	1:0
Chinese Super League
23.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0
Chinese Jia League
22.09.19	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1

Upcoming Matches