Match Info

Date: 20 August 2022, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.8	3.15	1.88
	4.58	3.63	1.78
	4	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.07)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
23.1%

Draw
27.6%

Gimhae
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

27.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27.8%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dangjin Citizen's form might have worsened.

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimhae's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dangjin Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimhae, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Dangjin Citizen - Gimhae Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dangjin Citizen will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gimhae will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Dangjin Citizen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimhae is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dangjin Citizen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Gimhae is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
13.08.22	Dangjin Citizen - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
17.07.22	Dangjin Citizen - Cheongju	3:3 ✺
10.07.22	Yangju Citizen - Dangjin Citizen	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Dangjin Citizen - Gangneung	3:2 ✺
25.06.22	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
13.08.22	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Gimhae - Cheonan City	0:2 ✺
16.07.22	Gimhae - Siheung	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
02.07.22	Gimhae - Mokpo City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
23.04.22	Gimhae - Dangjin Citizen	3:1

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