Match Info

K3 League - Round 26

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Gimhae

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.85	3.65	1.58
	5.39	3.87	1.61
	5.00	3.46	1.72	Watch
	4.69	3.91	1.66	Watch
	5.65	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.95)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
18.1%

Draw
24.5%

Gimhae
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.9%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.8%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Busan Kyotong have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Busan Kyotong - Gimhae Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Seol H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 1.

Busan Kyotong has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimhae is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gimhae may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gimhae is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
20.09.25	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Busan Kyotong - Jeonbuk 2	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Yangpyeong - Busan Kyotong	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
13.09.25	Gimhae - Yeoju	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Gimhae - Changwon City	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chuncheon - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gimhae - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
01.06.25	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	5:1
18.08.24	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	1:2
20.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	2:3
19.08.23	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	1:2
22.04.23	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	2:1
09.07.22	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	0:0
27.03.22	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	0:0

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