Match Info

K3 League - Round 15

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.12	3.10	3.10	Watch
	2.21	3.38	3.31
	2.23	3.14	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.00	3.10
	2.12	3.18	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.33)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.14 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
42.4%

Draw
28.6%

Ulsan Citizen
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dangjin Citizen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+5%)

Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11).

Dangjin Citizen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulsan Citizen is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Ulsan Citizen has had a series of home games.

Dangjin Citizen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
06.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Siheung - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLT
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
06.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
14.03.26	Ulsan Citizen - Dangjin Citizen	1:2
25.06.22	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:3
13.03.22	Ulsan Citizen - Dangjin Citizen	2:1

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