Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Pocheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.40	1.71
	4.15	3.4	1.72	Watch
	4.57	3.64	1.78
	4.28	3.46	1.77	Watch
	4.45	3.55	1.67
	4.53	3.55	1.67
	4.1	3.4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.95)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	1.72 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
21.1%

Draw
26.1%

Pocheon
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

27.3%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dangjin Citizen - Pocheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2).

Dangjin Citizen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pocheon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Dangjin Citizen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pocheon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pocheon	23	13	7	3	38:19	19	46
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Haman - Dangjin Citizen	0:2 AET ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Gangneung	5:2 ✺
20.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTLW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Pocheon	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
28.03.26	Pocheon - Dangjin Citizen	4:1
18.06.22	Pocheon - Dangjin Citizen	1:0
05.03.22	Dangjin Citizen - Pocheon	2:1

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