Match Info

K3 League - Round 14

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Changwon City

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.05
	3.30	3.15	2.04	Watch
	3.46	3.53	2.12
	3.11	3.62	2.04	Watch
	3.00	3.10	2.05
	3.24	3.40	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
28.5%

Draw
27.5%

Changwon City
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

27.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 5)

Dangjin Citizen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Changwon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Changwon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
30.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Siheung - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTL
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
30.05.26	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pocheon - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Yangpyeong - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Changwon City - Siheung	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
08.03.26	Changwon City - Dangjin Citizen	1:0
26.08.22	Changwon City - Dangjin Citizen	2:1
01.05.22	Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City	1:1

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