Match Info

K3 League - Round 13

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Pocheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.3	1.75	Watch
	4.66	3.4	1.83
	4.48	3.32	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.75
	4.6	3.3	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.51)	3.28 ↑ (3.14)	1.77 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
20.6%

Draw
27.8%

Pocheon
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

28.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan Citizen's form might have worsened.

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pocheon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pocheon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pocheon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pocheon will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 1.

Ulsan Citizen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pocheon is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Pocheon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pocheon	23	13	7	3	38:19	19	46
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
23.05.26	Pocheon - Jeonbuk 2	5:1 ✺
16.05.26	Pocheon - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Chuncheon - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Pocheon - Yangpyeong	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Yeoju - Pocheon	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.10.25	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
06.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	1:2
02.11.24	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:1
22.06.24	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	2:2
05.11.23	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:3
11.06.23	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1
03.07.22	Pocheon - Ulsan Citizen	1:1

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