Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Darajani Gogo		Nzoia United

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.71	2.71	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.3
	2.28	2.9	3.37
	2.25	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	3.12 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darajani Gogo
37.8%

Draw
33.1%

Nzoia United
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

32.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

34.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Nzoia United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nzoia United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Darajani Gogo - Nzoia United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).

Recent performances by Darajani Gogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nzoia United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darajani Gogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Darajani Gogo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Darajani Gogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Darajani Gogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Nzoia Sugar	36	11	14	11	36:35	1	47
17	Darajani Gogo	36	8	8	20	22:47	-25	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	MCF - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Vihiga United - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLW
- Nzoia United
Kenyan Super League
22.12.25	Nzoia United - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Luanda Villa - Nzoia United	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Nzoia United - Kabati	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Naivas - Nzoia United	0:1 ✺
03.12.25	Nzoia United - MCF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
01.06.25	Nzoia United - Darajani Gogo	1:0
13.10.24	Darajani Gogo - Nzoia United	3:1

Darajani Gogo - Nzoia United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide