Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Darlington		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	3
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.4	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.14	2.95
	2.5	3.14	2.95
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.38	3.24	2.84
	2.31	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.79)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	2.84 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
38.3%

Draw
29.3%

Blyth Spartans
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

26.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blyth Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blyth Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darlington - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 3.

Darlington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Blyth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blyth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Darlington have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Darlington won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
14.10.23	Darlington - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Tamworth - Darlington	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.09.23	Darlington - Workington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTW
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
21.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Banbury United - Blyth Spartans	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:0 ✺
30.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.04.23	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	0:0
27.09.22	Darlington - Blyth Spartans	1:0
05.03.22	Darlington - Blyth Spartans	1:0
11.09.21	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	2:2
28.12.20	Darlington - Blyth Spartans	6:0
28.12.19	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	0:2
04.09.19	Darlington - Blyth Spartans	2:1

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