Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 10

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.15	3.5	3
	2.2	3.35	3.29
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.13	3.4	3.14
	2.15	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.19)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
42.7%

Draw
27.6%

Gloucester City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Darlington - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Darlington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Darlington will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Darlington won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English FA Cup
15.09.23	Darlington - Workington	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Bishops Stortford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
05.09.23	Darlington - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Buxton - Darlington	5:0 ✺
28.08.23	Darlington - South Shields	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLT
- Gloucester City
English National League North
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Gloucester City - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	South Shields - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
10.12.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:6
06.08.22	Darlington - Gloucester City	3:1
19.02.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:2
20.11.21	Darlington - Gloucester City	2:2
06.02.21	Darlington - Gloucester City	Canceled
04.01.20	Darlington - Gloucester City	2:1
07.09.19	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:1

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