Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.1
	2.82	3.7	2.15
	2.85	3.86	2.11
	2.82	3.62	2.22	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.53)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
33%

Draw
25.3%

Fylde
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Darlington - Fylde Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Darlington will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fylde will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Fylde (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fylde (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Platt T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Wilson G. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, McGowan W. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. Replay (1st match was draw).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Fylde has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Fylde - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Fylde - Darlington	2:2 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Darlington - Chester	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Bootle - Darlington	1:3 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Darlington - Hereford	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Marine - Darlington	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWTW
- AFC Fylde
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Fylde - Darlington	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fylde - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Peterborough Sports - Fylde	0:5 ✺
02.09.25	Fylde - Chester	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fylde - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.09.25	Fylde - Darlington	2:2
English National League North
19.08.25	Darlington - Fylde	1:3
11.03.23	Fylde - Darlington	3:2
12.11.22	Darlington - Fylde	1:2
22.02.22	Fylde - Darlington	1:2
11.12.21	Darlington - Fylde	1:0
06.10.20	Fylde - Darlington	1:0

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