Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)


	Fylde		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	2.22	3.4	2.88
	2.2	3.6	3.01
	1.41	4.73	6.50	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.7
	2.22	3.4	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.29)	3.65 ↑ (3.41)	3.48 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
45.9%

Draw
26.4%

Chester
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fylde's performance.

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Fylde - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Chester will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fylde: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 2 - 40%). Chester (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Ormerod D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Jones P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Jones P. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, O'Kane T. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2.

Fylde is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fylde won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League North
30.08.25	Fylde - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Southport - Fylde	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Fylde - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Darlington - Fylde	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Fylde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL
- Chester City
English National League North
30.08.25	Worksop Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Chester - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	South Shields - Chester	4:0 ✺
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Chorley - Chester	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.01.23	Fylde - Chester	1:1
27.08.22	Chester - Fylde	0:1
18.04.22	Fylde - Chester	3:1
28.12.21	Chester - Fylde	2:2
09.02.21	Chester - Fylde	Canceled
English National League
09.01.18	Fylde - Chester	1:1
English FA Trophy
16.12.17	Chester - Fylde	1:1

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