Match Info

National League North - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Hereford

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.3	3.45	2.72
	2.31	3.78	2.72
	2.26	3.38	2.97	Watch
	2.33	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.96)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.74 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
40.2%

Draw
26.4%

Hereford
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hereford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hereford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darlington - Hereford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Darlington (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Maskell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 1, Grant ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
02.09.25	Marine - Darlington	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Macclesfield Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Darlington - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	King`s Lynn Town - Darlington	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Darlington - Fylde	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
02.09.25	Hereford - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hereford - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Radcliffe - Hereford	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hereford - Chorley	1:4 ✺
19.08.25	Buxton - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
08.03.25	Hereford - Darlington	0:2
10.12.24	Darlington - Hereford	2:1
27.01.24	Darlington - Hereford	2:0
12.08.23	Hereford - Darlington	1:0
18.03.23	Darlington - Hereford	3:0
26.11.22	Hereford - Darlington	1:2
19.03.22	Hereford - Darlington	1:1

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