Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 40

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.65	3.7	4.1
	1.65	3.95	4.5
	1.64	4.23	4.55	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4
	1.69	3.88	4.54
	1.65	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	3.9 ↓ (4.19)	4.42 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
55.6%

Draw
23.6%

Rushall Olympic
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Darlington - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Cornish M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, McWilliams C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Samuels A. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Nelson A. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Darlington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rushall is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darlington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Darlington have a series of guest games.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
18.03.25	Alfreton Town - Darlington	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	4:1 ✺
11.03.25	Darlington - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hereford - Darlington	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWL
- Rushall Olympic
English National League North
15.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Southport	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Hereford	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Warrington Town - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.10.24	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	1:1
23.03.24	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	3:2
25.11.23	Darlington - Rushall Olympic	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
23.04.16	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	1:0
19.03.16	Darlington - Rushall Olympic	1:0

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