Match Info
National League North - Round 34Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Spennymoor Town |
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Darlington |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.8 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
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2.78 |
3.4 |
2.28 |
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2.75 |
3.45 |
2.38 |
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2.74 |
3.57 |
2.35 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
3.25 |
2.25 |
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2.92 |
3.44 |
2.3 |
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2.71 |
3.33 |
2.37 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.38) |
3.39 ↑
(3.25) |
2.3 ↓
(2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Spennymoor Town
32.9% | Draw
27.2% | Darlington
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darlington's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darlington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Spennymoor Town - Darlington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Howells M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 0 - 2, Main C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', 0 - 3, Main C. ⚽,
- 83', 0 - 4, Maskell J. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Spennymoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Spennymoor: 0.73%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 22 | Darlington | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.03%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Darlington - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 22.11.25 | Darlington - Spennymoor Town | 1:0 | | 04.03.25 | Spennymoor Town - Darlington | 2:1 | | 31.08.24 | Darlington - Spennymoor Town | 1:0 | | 09.03.24 | Spennymoor Town - Darlington | 2:1 | | 28.10.23 | Darlington - Spennymoor Town | 1:2 | | 28.01.23 | Darlington - Spennymoor Town | 3:2 | | English FA Trophy | | | 20.12.22 | Spennymoor Town - Darlington | 1:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
