Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 38

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Rushall Olympic		Hereford

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.8
	3.75	3.7	1.84
	3.87	4.05	1.79
	3.92	3.92	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.83
	4.16	3.8	1.73
	3.75	3.7	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↓ (4.72)	3.75 ↓ (3.92)	1.8 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rushall Olympic
23.9%

Draw
24.7%

Hereford
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hereford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hereford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rushall Olympic - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Thompson S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rushall has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hereford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hereford have a series of home games.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rushall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rushall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rushall Olympic
English National League North
08.03.25	Warrington Town - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	6:1 ✺
22.02.25	Rushall Olympic - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Chester - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Hereford FC
English National League North
08.03.25	Hereford - Darlington	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Marine - Hereford	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Hereford - Buxton	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hereford - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Hereford - Warrington Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.11.24	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	3:0
23.01.24	Rushall Olympic - Hereford	0:1
15.08.23	Hereford - Rushall Olympic	1:0

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