Match Info

National League North - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Peterborough Sports		Darlington

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.75
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.65	3.75	1.82
	3.79	3.92	1.83
	3.67	4.06	1.82	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.77	3.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.74)	3.76 ↓ (3.94)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
25.6%

Draw
24.5%

Darlington
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

23.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Peterborough Sports - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Platt T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 2.

Peterborough Sports is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Darlington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Darlington has had a series of home games.

Darlington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough Sports won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
17.03.26	Peterborough Sports - Marine	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Peterborough Sports	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Peterborough Sports - Southport	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peterborough Sports - South Shields	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
17.03.26	Darlington - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Darlington - Leamington	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Darlington - Buxton	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chester - Darlington	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Darlington - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.11.25	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	5:2
15.03.25	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	4:1
12.11.24	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	2:2
16.03.24	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	1:0
07.11.23	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	2:0
29.04.23	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	0:1
24.09.22	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	2:0

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