Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 4

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Workington		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.85
	3.8	3.98	1.78
	3.4	3.9	1.73
	3.65	4.1	1.76
	3.6	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.4)	3.84 ↓ (4.13)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
25.6%

Draw
23.7%

Radcliffe
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.2%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

21.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radcliffe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radcliffe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Workington - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Workington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radcliffe is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Radcliffe have a series of home games.

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Workington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
19.08.23	Ilkeston - Workington	6:1 ✺
15.08.23	Morpeth Town - Workington	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Workington - Ashton United	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Workington - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
08.07.23	Workington - Dumbarton	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Radcliffe FC
English NPL Premier Division
19.08.23	Radcliffe - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Radcliffe - Lancaster City	4:2 ✺
12.08.23	Warrington Rylands - Radcliffe	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Radcliffe - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Radcliffe - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
22.09.20	Radcliffe - Workington	5:3

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