Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Dartford		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	1.99	3.55	3.15
	2.13	3.27	3.37
	2	3.65	3.18	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.03	3.48	3.14
	2.15	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	3.16 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
44.2%

Draw
27.1%

Dover Athletic
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Dartford - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Soares Jr. R. (Pen),
87', 0 - 2, Matthews A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dartford won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Dartford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dartford won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dartford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.04.25	Dartford - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:3 ET ✺
26.04.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	1:4 ✺
21.04.25	Cray Wanderers - Dartford	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Dartford - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Whitehawk - Dartford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWW
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.04.25	Billericay Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ET ✺
26.04.25	Chichester City - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
21.04.25	Dover Athletic - Hastings United	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Dartford - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Dover Athletic - Hendon	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.25	Dartford - Dover Athletic	3:1
07.09.24	Dover Athletic - Dartford	5:1
English National League South
17.02.24	Dover Athletic - Dartford	1:2
28.08.23	Dartford - Dover Athletic	2:0
10.04.23	Dartford - Dover Athletic	2:1
13.09.22	Dover Athletic - Dartford	1:3
Club Friendly
22.09.20	Dartford - Dover Athletic	1:1

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